Underpinning Integration in the Horn

Tuesday, October 20, 2015
Without refuting the role and pertinence played by oil and gas importation in the economy, we now ponder on the export side of Ethiopian energy security because it is believed to increase the nation’s influence.




Every country wants to have a future with affordable energy as it is a pillar for all other endeavors. Yet, “how”, “from whom” and “in what bulk one should secure such needs” are part of the prime debate in this globalized world. Energy security, since the very first spark and glimmer that resulted from the friction of stones held by that fortunate caveman who discovered fire, has been the bone of contention for centuries and is no longer an issue only for politicians, environmental activists or policy makers; rather, all global citizens have a stake in the issue.
By and large, various skeptics’ stipulate that Ethiopia ought to secure an immediate hard currency by trading its renewable energy resources although they seem far more market-driven. When shall Ethiopia get the pecuniary return? Now, or in the long run? These are the subjects causing clamor. A “resource-scramble” model urges countries to seek what is best for them regardless of the consequences for others. Nevertheless, a more precise way to think about the problem is to see that each nation’s energy security is an integral part of every other nation’s security. In this overly entwined world, we should compromise benefits as long as it doesn’t shake our very existence and identity. We should not exclusively calculate the hard currency we secure now, but rather in the long-term, state-to-state conviction we inculcate.

Michael Rupert explains what is going on in a recent article about Peak oil. “For every calorie of food produced in the industrial world, ten calories of oil and gas energy are invested in the forms of fertilizer, pesticide, packaging, transportation, and running farm equipment.”

After all, we cannot escape the subject of energy security from our everyday life because we are consumers of the above-mentioned yield in one way or another. 

At the end of each month, go through newspapers or watch the broadcast media and you are likely to find an article about the monthly domestic oil price announcement from the Ministry of Trade featured prominently. This might include, but is not limited to, the long queues of vehicles we encounter at petrol stations, and, as many people will/have experienced and will remember, days they were forced to sit in a taxi waiting to refill gas, all the while their important schedule was delayed.  Energy is this close to our everyday life.

Ethiopia is reliant on imports to meet its petroleum requirements. It is both an oil and gas importer and recently started to export hydropower. Without refuting the role and pertinence played by oil and gas importation in the economy, we now ponder on the export side of Ethiopian energy security because it is believed to increase the nation’s influence.

Within our psychological advances, concerns about energy security are now at the forefront of many current debates on energy policy, profoundly influencing the way decision-makers think about a range of issues from national and economic security to international diplomacy. Global leaders had convened here in Addis principally to decide upon global financial measures. It is critical to deal with the issue as the third global Financing for Development summit and the post 2015 development , as well as in many of its side events, become the focus of the decade. Likewise, it is time for concerted global action towards a secured, sustainable and inclusive energy security for the global citizen.

As the resources that have been so crucial for survival in the world start waning in figures, countries have begun to realize that the need for renewable energy sources will be as vital as ever. And here, Ethiopia has started to generate plenty clean energy sources. In this day and age, the long-awaited moment in time has come to redeem itself to a lofty leverage it aspired for centuries. Adept diplomacy harnessed by energy security and resilience shall be the next motto that will make Ethiopia center in scope and character of regional framework.

Against all odds, it has been reported by FDRE Foreign Affairs and National Security policy document that the foreign policies of past governments were founded in part with a “siege mentality.” Instead of repeating history of appalling policy, we should learn from it and push the gear towards betterment. 

Denying Ethiopia’s huge investment in hydroelectric, geothermal and wind infrastructures amounts to naivety. But we should persevere that Ethiopia doesn’t aspire to bring about the economic return for costs it incurred on such investments in the short run, and instead the hard currency it acquired by being business minded could be set off once it advances long-term affiliation and keeps peaceful camaraderie with nations.

Let us consider our neighboring nations who could be shortlisted patrons of our energy supply. If the warring parties and Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) succeed in instilling peace in South Sudan, there will be a development , which, in turn, would bring about market access and job opportunities for Ethiopians. Regarding the republic of Sudan, there is a possibility of an extra port option, which would benefit our growing economy because, given some time, it might not be accommodated by the Djibouti port alone. Kenya is also another client for our energy supply and no one can undermine their supportive role in our peace and security resolutions against vicious radical groups. Besides, contiguity of border villages and some ethnic groups further cement the need for collaboration. Finally, aside from the shared sociological and cultural ties, Djibouti is the focal entry and exit point for Ethiopian merchandise. So, any moves that the Ethiopian government takes would be scrutinized in line with the broader economic integration process that is underway. 

The mutual trust built amongst countries in resource transactions is also another prominent issue. It is apparent that they disburse for the service provided yet the bond must be beyond contractual relationship. Once we harness such ties, our transaction partners will feel that Ethiopia has a stake in their development endeavor as a power supplier. Moreover, people-to-people relationship that we build through public diplomacy engagements will buttress our stance in the hearts and minds of that country’s populace.

In order to maintain our stance in the sector, the government should engage with donors who already deem Ethiopia worthy of development assistance and who will support a plan for carbon-neutral industrialization by 2030.  Ethiopia should orchestrate countries to prop up its clean energy resources. Even in the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) project; the more Ethiopia was devoted on the negotiation table, the more Egypt and Sudan felt inclined to agree until they finally agreed in principle to the construction of the dam. There are also many other Nile riparian countries assenting to the Comprehensive Framework Agreement (CFA) on the equitable utilization of the river. Thus, we should be adamant with our bilateral and multilateral development partners so that they maintain our cause like Japan and the World Bank did in Aluto Langano Geothermal Power Plant.

To renew the ties of cooperation, and to confront its fear and face the future, Ethiopia should find the right balance between a market-driven outlook and a more forward-looking strategic approach towards bolstering equitable and reasonable collaboration frameworks. It will resurrect from the ashes like the mythological phoenix and redeem its previous supremacy in a subtler manner. On top of that, it must work towards shifting the paradigm towards the success of African integration as is aspired by Agenda 2063. Ethiopia can bolster Africa through an integrated power pool, enough that history will enlighten the rest of the world about us. We shall prove, in action, that Ethiopia’s indomitable spirit on the issues of Africa is as solid as they used to be, irrespective of governments in power.

Henceforth, in order to keep the normalcy of the region and consolidate the pivotal role of Ethiopia, we need the immensely significant support of neighboring states. Or else, once we exclusively engross our mentality on the economic return we can accrue from those countries, Ethiopia would be expected to go the extra mile to secure their alliance, which would be emphatically cumbersome. Lastly, collecting a reasonable amount for the sale of our energy supply is crucial in keeping the ties intact.


Originally Posted on The Reporter English Version

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Policy Researcher on Matters Associated to Regional Peace and Security in the Horn of Africa Policy Researcher on Matters Associated to Regional Peace and Security in the Horn of Africa

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